Article - July 19, 2024

Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast 2024

Chris Herbert

Chris Hebert

TropicsWatch Manager, Houston

Hurricane from space

Outlook for the 2024 Hurricane Season

The 2024 hurricane season started slowly, with the first named storm, Alberto, forming in the Bay of Campeche the third week of June.  By the end of June, both Beryl and Chris had formed.  While Chris was a short-lived weak tropical storm in the southern Bay of Campeche, Beryl became the earliest Category 5 hurricane on record in the eastern Caribbean in early July.  Beryl caused extensive damage across Grenada, hurricane conditions across southern Jamaica and the Cancun/Cozumel, MX areas, and made final landfall on the upper Texas coast as a Category 1 hurricane on July 8th.

StormGeo is anticipating a more activity for the 2024 season in the Atlantic Basin and some of the factors that StormGeo's Hurricane and Long-Range Forecasters evaluated to determine this forecast include:

  • A return of La Nina
  • Atlantic water temperatures
  • Analog Seasons

Continue reading this forecast for an in-depth analysis of the current signals and long-range patterns. The forecast also looks at major risk areas and how many storms may develop this season.

Only have time for a quick glance?
Check out our Atlantic Hurricane Season Risk Map, which shows risk areas for impact and the predicted number of storms by intensity.
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