Article - June 11, 2024

West Pacific Typhoon Season Forecast 2024

Chris Herbert

Chris Hebert

TropicsWatch Manager, Houston

Typhoon surigae

Early Outlook for the 2024 Typhoon Season

The 2023 typhoon season was the fourth consecutive season with below-average numbers of tropical storms and typhoons.  Only 17 named storms formed last year, with 10 becoming typhoons.  That’s well below the 30-year average of 26 named storms and 16 typhoons. The West Pacific has been quiet so far this year, with not a single depression or named storm as of mid-April.  Early indications are that 2024 will be another relatively quiet typhoon season.

StormGeo is anticipating a less active 2024 season in the West Pacific Basin and some of the factors that StormGeo's Typhoon and Long-Range Forecasters evaluated to determine this forecast include:

  • El Niño/La Niña
  • India Ocean Dipole
  • Water Temperature

Continue reading this forecast for an in-depth analysis of the current signals and long-range patterns. The forecast also looks at major risk areas and how many storms may develop this season.

Only have time for a quick glance?
Check out our West Pacific Typhoon Season Risk Map, which shows risk areas for impact and the predicted number of typhoons by intensity.
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